Vegas still behind
The Las Vegas market made an improvement from March, when prices went down to 0.8 percent from February. Every year, Las Vegas prices are below 8.5 percent in April compared to the 3.8 percent average rise for the 20 markets that are in the in the report. According to real estate experts, Las Vegas is still behind other big cities in the recuperation of residential real estate values. Las Vegas has been mostly affected during the recession by the foreclosure crisis and high unemployment rates, which in May was recorded to be at 14.1 percent locally and has been in double digits for 17 straight months. Based on real estate experts, Las Vegas values went up to 0.2 percent from March to April. That compares to the average rise in 20 markets of 0.8 percent.
Latest news for May 2010 fell in present and new home sales and housing starts. Real estate data and foreclosure activity does not have any notice of improvement. Consistent gains to economic upsurge from housing may have to wait till 2011. Across the US, regardless of the April increases, home values are still not showing signs of continued recovery. For many months, figures were determined by the end of the first-time homebuyer tax credit program on April 30th. A few cities experienced monthly gains in April in contrast to six in the previous month.
Industrial and retail space
Based on the real estate experts, the average retail vacancy rate went up faintly during the second quarter to a rate of 11.3 percent, up from 11.1 percent in the first quarter. The office vacancy rate went up from 24.6 percent in the first quarter to 25.4 percent towards the last week of June. The vacancy value for office, industrial and retail space went up in start of the second quarter and lease rates went down again to the disappointment of landlords. Market watchers reported that it’s going to be until the last quarter of 2011 at the earliest before there is could be positive recovery. The best opinion analysts can make about the commercial real estate market in Las Vegas is that it is not getting better at a lesser rate than it did in the past.
According to economic experts, the second half of 2010 will be a challenge to the real estate market. It is sure that visitors and the businesses would likely remain cautious with their expenses, and realtors are not anticipating any significant job strenght in the second half of 2010. The rates for the commercial market have not gathered positive results for the past two years. The industrial vacancy rate went up from 10.5 percent in the first quarter to 11 percent in the second quarter. Real estate experts reported that the rate of decline is beginning to slow down, but these are not factors that are conditions ar getting better.
Excess of supply
Based on the economic experts, with 9,000 more homes and apartment units in excess, the population has to go up by 22,500 before there be a good balance ofsupply and demand. But the list doesn’t count in any homes that are presently being constructed. Due to the over- supply of homes and warnings of foreclosures, home values are much likely to remain at their present low levels for the following three years even if the population begins to go up. That surplus of housing units avoids homes from being built. Because of an excess of supply, the price of home construction went down from $600 million in 2008 to $400 million last 2009. According to Gary Shilling, a housing analyst, said that he anticipates prices to go down by 10 to 20 percent in most markets due to an excess of supply.
Another factor that threatens any recovery in the housing market is probable for strategic mortgage defaults from homeowners who are in debt. Those who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are valued. Las Vegas tops the nation with a recorded 75 percent of its real estate underwater in contrast with the 24 percent for the whole nation. That suggests that there might be a couple more foreclosures coming for Las Vegas. The trouble will only get worse with the upsurge in unemployment and very low wages. This occurrence should lead to a lot of foreclosures in the near term unless housing values start to go up again and allow homeowners to have assurance that they can get back their mortgage payments.
Short sales steadily rising
According to the stats of real estate experts, 34 percent of the sales were short sales in which owners owe more on their mortgages than the homes are valued. It has steadily risen over the past several months. It was 22 percent in February. With regards to the condominium and town home market, the 905 sales were 17.7 percent higher than May. The median price of units sold was $70,000, down 2.8 percent from May. The GLVAR primarily tracks sales of existing homes, but some new homes are included. Short sales continued to increase in June while foreclosure sales continued their decline.
The GLVAR has recorded 9,174 single-family homes on the market by the end of June that does not have an offer, a 14 percent increase compared to the results last May. The median price of the listings is $165,000, which $25,000 much higher compared to the median price of units sold in June. The median price for homes that were purchased last June went down 1.4 percent from $142,000 to $140,000. Because short sales are a growing segment of the market it would be a main factor that would help with the extension of a deadline to be able to avail for the tax credit from June 30 to Sept. 30 for homes purchased by the end of April. To be able to complete short sales is a process that would take a lot of time.
Market not stabilizing
According to the reports, the Las Vegas housing market, prices have stabilized. But people should not get really comfortable because the stabilization might not be for long. Nevada housing are in the midst more problems, and home values should remain at their present level for an average of three more years. In its study of the Las Vegas housing market, the Center for Business and Economic Research reported that any recovery is in jeopardy because there’s a surplus supply of housing units in contrast with the demand. According to economic consultants, although foreclosures are going down for now, there are indicators that the problem could get worse.
The excess supply went down by nearly 40 percent in the past year as lower prices have have made new buyers to buy homes, but the present supply continuest to be an obstruction to a forthcoming recovery in the housing market. This could be an indicator that housing values have finally dropped and that a recovery in the housing market is very near. Based on the study of some fundamentals of the housing market may suggest differently. Based on analysts, the center had an estimated review of an excess of 9,000 vacant housing units on the normal local housing inventory, which is around two-thirds apartments and one-third single-family homes.





